Saints vs. Falcons Predictions & Picks: Odds, Moneyline, Spread – Week 4
Published 3:37 pm Saturday, September 28, 2024
At Mercedes-Benz Stadium on Sunday, Sept. 29, the Atlanta Falcons face the New Orleans Saints, beginning at 1:00 p.m. ET. The Saints should be victorious, based on our computer model — continue reading to discover more tips about the point spread, over/under and even the final score.
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On offense, the Falcons rank 20th in the NFL with 307.3 yards per game. Meanwhile, they rank 18th in total defense (326.7 yards allowed per contest). The Saints have been top-five on both sides of the ball this season, as they rank second-best in points per game (34.3) and fifth-best in points surrendered per game (14.7).
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Saints vs. Falcons Predictions and Picks
| ATS | Over/Under | Score Prediction |
|---|---|---|
| Saints (+3) | Over (41) | Saints 22, Falcons 21 |
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Saints Betting Info
- The sportsbooks’ moneyline implies a 43.5% chance of a victory for the Saints.
- New Orleans has a record of 2-1-0 against the spread this year.
- The Saints have won their only game this year when playing as at least 3-point underdogs.
- So far this year, two New Orleans games have gone over the point total.
- The average total for Saints games (postseason included) is 46 points, five more than this game’s over/under.
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Falcons Betting Info
- The implied moneyline probability for this matchup gives the Falcons a 60.8% chance to win.
- Atlanta has won one game against the spread this season.
- The Falcons have not covered the spread this season (0-1 ATS) when playing as at least 3-point favorites.
- Atlanta and its opponent have not hit the over yet this season.
- The over/under in this matchup is 41 points, 4.2 fewer than the average total in this season’s Falcons contests (postseason included).
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Saints vs. Falcons 2024 Scoring Insights
| Pts | Pts Allowed | Home Pts | Home Pts Allowed | Away Pts | Away Pts Allowed | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Falcons | 16.3 | 20.3 | 13.5 | 20 | 22 | 21 |
| Saints | 34.3 | 14.7 | 29.5 | 12.5 | 44 | 19 |
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