NBA Best Bets: Mavericks vs. Pelicans Picks for February 21

Published 5:40 pm Friday, February 21, 2025

The New Orleans Pelicans (13-42) visit the Dallas Mavericks (30-26) after losing seven road games in a row. The Mavericks are favored by 5.5 points in the contest, which begins at 8:30 PM ET on Friday, February 21, 2025.

If you hope to gain an edge on Friday’s game, check out the best bets available below (based on our computer predictions).

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Mavericks vs. Pelicans Game Info

  • When: Friday, February 21, 2025 at 8:30 PM ET
  • Where: American Airlines Center in Dallas, Texas
  • TV: KFAA and Gulf Coast Sports
  • Live Stream: Watch this game on Fubo (Regional restrictions may apply)

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Mavericks vs. Pelicans Best Bets

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Kyrie Irving Over 27.5 PTS

  • The 24.6 points Kyrie Irving has scored per game this season is 2.9 fewer than his prop total set for Friday (27.5).
  • Irving has hit the over 23 times on a points prop this season (in 44 tries).
  • The Mavericks are the NBA’s 11th-ranked scoring team (115.7 points per game), while the Pelicans are 27th defensively in terms of points conceded per game (119.4).
  • Dallas has a 17-5 record when finishing with more points than 119.4.

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Trey Murphy III Over 22.5 PTS

  • The 22.5-point prop total for Trey Murphy III on Friday is 0.1 higher than his season scoring average, which is 22.4.
  • Murphy has gone over 23 times on a points prop this season (in 38 opportunities).
  • The 22nd-ranked scoring NBA team (110.6 points per game) is New Orleans, while Dallas ranks 17th in the league defensively (113.5 conceded per game).
  • New Orleans is 10-10 when scoring more points than 113.5.

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Pick ATS: Mavericks (- 5.5)

  • Dallas’ record against the spread is 30-26-0.
  • New Orleans has 23 wins in 55 games against the spread this year.
  • As 5.5-point favorites or more, the Mavericks are 10-6 against the spread.
  • As 5.5-point underdogs or more, the Pelicans are 12-19 against the spread.

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Pick OU:

Under (237.5)

  • The Mavericks and their opponents have gone over 237.5 combined points in 19 of 56 games this season.
  • The Pelicans have played 19 games this season that ended with a combined score over 237.5 points.
  • Dallas has had an average of 228 points in its games this season, 9.5 fewer than this matchup’s total.
  • New Orleans has had an average of 226.8 points scored in its games so far this season, 10.7 points fewer than this game’s over/under.
  • The Mavericks score the eighth-most points in the NBA this season, while the Pelicans’ offense racks up the 21st-most.
  • The Mavericks are the league’s 20th-ranked scoring defense while the Pelicans are the 27th-ranked.

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Moneyline Pick: Mavericks (-220)

  • The Mavericks have entered the game as favorites 27 times this season and won 18, or 66.7%, of those games.
  • The Pelicans have been underdogs in 40 games this season and have come away with the win six times (15%) in those contests.
  • Dallas has a record of 12-3, a 80% win rate, when it’s favored by -220 or more by bookmakers this season.
  • This year, New Orleans has won two of 31 games when listed as at least +180 or better on the moneyline.
  • The moneyline for this contest implies a 68.8% chance of a victory for the Mavericks.

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