Nuggets vs. Pelicans Prediction & Picks: Line, Spread, Over/Under – February 5

Published 9:16 pm Tuesday, February 4, 2025

The Denver Nuggets (31-19) are heavily favored (by 10.5 points) to build on a three-game home winning streak when they host the New Orleans Pelicans (12-38) on Wednesday, February 5, 2025 at 9:00 PM ET.

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Nuggets vs. Pelicans Game Info & Odds

  • Date: Wednesday, February 5, 2025
  • Time: 9:00 PM ET
  • How to watch on TV: ALT and Gulf Coast Sports
  • Live Stream: Watch this game on Fubo (Regional restrictions may apply)
  • Location: Denver, Colorado
  • Venue: Ball Arena

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Nuggets vs. Pelicans Score Prediction

  • Prediction:
    Nuggets 124 – Pelicans 109

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Spread & Total Prediction for Nuggets vs. Pelicans

  • Pick ATS: Nuggets (- 10.5)
  • Computer Predicted Spread: Nuggets (-15.4)
  • Pick OU:

    Under (239.5)

  • Computer Predicted Total: 232.5
  • The Pelicans (21-29-0 ATS) have covered the spread 48% of the time, six% less often than the Nuggets (24-26-0) this season.
  • As a 10.5-point favorite or more in 2024-25, Denver is 4-3 against the spread compared to the 4-4 ATS record New Orleans racks up as a 10.5-point underdog.
  • When it comes to exceeding the over/under in 2024-25, Denver does it more often (62% of the time) than New Orleans (56%).
  • The Nuggets have a .658 winning percentage as a moneyline favorite (25-13) this season, better than the .143 winning percentage for the Pelicans as a moneyline underdog (5-30).

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Nuggets Performance Insights

  • The Nuggets have been lifted by their offense, as they rank third-best in the NBA by averaging 120.6 points per game. They rank 25th in the league in points allowed (116.4 per contest).
  • Denver ranks fifth-best in the NBA by allowing only 42.5 rebounds per game. It ranks seventh in the league by pulling down 45.4 rebounds per contest.
  • The Nuggets have been one of the top teams in the league when it comes to assists, as they are collecting 31 per game (best in NBA).
  • Denver is averaging 13.6 turnovers per game (14th-ranked in NBA) this year, while forcing 12.8 turnovers per contest (22nd-ranked).
  • The Nuggets haven’t been scoring many three-pointers this season, ranking third-worst in the NBA (11.7 threes made per game). But they rank fourth-best in the league with a 37.8% shooting percentage when they do fire from beyond the arc.

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Pelicans Performance Insights

  • On offense the Pelicans are the 24th-ranked squad in the NBA (109.9 points per game). Defensively they are fifth-worst (118.3 points allowed per game).
  • In 2024-25, New Orleans is 24th in the league in rebounds (43 per game) and third-worst in rebounds allowed (46.3).
  • With 25.1 assists per game, the Pelicans are 21st in the NBA.
  • In terms of turnovers, New Orleans is 14th in the league in committing them (13.6 per game). It is 12th in forcing them (13.9 per game).
  • Beyond the arc, the Pelicans are 23rd in the NBA in 3-pointers made per game (12.3). They are 23rd in 3-point percentage at 34.9%.

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