Saints vs. Chiefs Predictions & Picks: Odds, Moneyline, Spread – Monday Night Football Week 5
Published 7:38 pm Sunday, October 6, 2024
The Kansas City Chiefs will play the New Orleans Saints at GEHA Field at Arrowhead Stadium on Monday, Oct. 7 at 8:15 p.m. ET. Our computer model predicts the Chiefs will win — see below for a full breakdown regarding the spread, over/under and final score.
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The Chiefs are compiling 328.3 yards per game on offense, which ranks them 15th in the NFL. On defense, they rank 13th, giving up 326.8 yards per contest. The Saints’ defense ranks seventh in the NFL with 17.5 points surrendered per game, but they’ve been lifted up by their offense, which ranks best by compiling 31.8 points per contest.
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Saints vs. Chiefs Predictions and Picks
| ATS | Over/Under | Score Prediction |
|---|---|---|
| Toss Up (Spread: Chiefs by 5.5) | Over (43) | Chiefs 26, Saints 19 |
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Saints Betting Info
- Oddsmakers have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Saints have a 33.3% chance to win.
- New Orleans has compiled a 3-1-0 ATS record so far this year.
- The Saints have been an underdog by 5.5 points or more once this season, and covered the spread.
- New Orleans and its opponent have combined to hit the over three out of four times this season.
- The average total points scored in Saints games (postseason included) this year (43) is 1.9 points higher than the total for this matchup.
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Chiefs Betting Info
- Based on this matchup’s moneyline, the Chiefs have an implied win probability of 71.4%.
- Kansas City has won two games against the spread this season.
- The Chiefs have been favored by 5.5 points or more this season twice, and failed to cover both times.
- This season, games featuring the Chiefs have hit the over twice.
- Chiefs games have had an average of 45.4 points this season, 2.4 points higher than the over/under for this matchup.
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Saints vs. Chiefs 2024 Scoring Insights
| Pts | Pts Allowed | Home Pts | Home Pts Allowed | Away Pts | Away Pts Allowed | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chiefs | 23 | 18 | 26.5 | 22.5 | 19.5 | 13.5 |
| Saints | 31.8 | 17.5 | 29.5 | 12.5 | 34 | 22.5 |
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